I
believe that the biggest advancement in UAS technology in the near future will
be in sense-and-avoid systems. The primary motivation for the effort to
develop these systems will be to refine them to the satisfaction of the
FAA. When the FAA's confidence has been gained, a broader range of
operations will commence in the National Airspace System (NAS). As
safe UAS operations become more commonplace, the public's trust in the
technology will allow the field to truly flourish.
Insinna
(2014) writes that military UAS operators have thus far been able to operate
relatively freely due to the lack of air traffic in restricted airspace above
war zones. The FAA has been working to establish sense-and-avoid
regulations that future domestic, commercial UAS operators will be required to
comply with. Sense-and-avoid algorithms based on ADS-B are being
researched by NASA. A test system has been mounted to a Cirrus SR-22 test
platform. Researchers have been deliberately attempting to input
"blunder maneuvers" to test the algorithms (Vanderhoof & Flight,
2016).
A
critical component in the future of UAS operations in the NAS is the FAA’s
timeline and the contents of the regulations the agency will adopt for
sense-and-avoid systems. The longer the
FAA delays the process, the more opportunities will be lost. Investors providing capital, commercial
ventures, and people seeking entry into this market will not be able to wait
indefinitely for an uncertain publishing date.
These regulations will essentially decide whether a venture will
progress or halt and disband. The
regulations will also essentially determine if sense-and-avoid system developed
to date will be sufficient to meet these thresholds. If not, there will be more delays incurred as
the technology is refined to meet the standards.
References:
Insinna, V.
(2014, May). Military, Industry Racing to Create Sense-and-Avoid
Systems. National Defense. Retrieved from http://www.nationaldefensemagazine.org/archive/2014/may/pages/military,industryracingtocreatesense-and-avoidsystems.aspx
Vanderhoof, D.
& Flight, M. (2016, June 3). Sens and Avoid and Package
Delivery at NASA Langley. The UAV Digest. Retrieved from http://theuavdigest.com/tag/sense-and-avoid/